282100Z POSITION NEAR 20.3N 63.2E. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02A (TWO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 248 NM EAST OF MASIRAH ISLAND, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 02 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS AN AREA OF WEAK CENTRAL CONVECTION BEING SHEARED OFF TO THE WEST OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). A 281637Z METOP-B ASCAT IMAGE SHOWS THE LLCC BECOMING ELONGATED WITH 25 TO 30 KNOT WINDS WRAPPING INTO THE CENTER. UPPER-LEVEL CONDITIONS HAVE DETERIORATED IN THE LAST SIX HOURS DUE TO REDUCED POLEWARD OUTFLOW AND INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR VALUES APPROACHING 40 KNOTS. THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS ASSESSED AT 30 KNOTS AND IS BASED ON RECENT DVORAK ESTIMATES FROM PGTW, KNES, AND THE AFOREMENTIONED ASCAT IMAGE. THE RELATIVELY HIGH WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS THE UPPER-LEVEL EASTERLY JET ESTABLISHES ITSELF OVER THE REGION. THE REMNANTS OF TC 02A IS EXPECTED TO DRIFT SOUTH AS IT IS ABSORBED INTO SOUTHWEST MONSOON. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 281800Z IS 12 FEET.
