WTXS31 PGTW 300300 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 17S (FRANCES) WARNING NR 007// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 17S (FRANCES) WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 300000Z --- NEAR 13.4S 122.1E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 13.4S 122.1E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z --- 13.6S 121.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 300300Z POSITION NEAR 13.5S 122.0E. TROPICAL CYCLONE 17S (FRANCES), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 270 NM NORTH OF BROOME, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A FULLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER DEVOID OF ANY ASSOCIATED CONVECTION AND IS THE BASIS FOR THE INITIAL POSITION. THE INITIAL INTENSITY OF 35 KNOTS IS BASED ON THE RAPID WEAKENING TREND OBSERVED OVER THE LAST 24 HOURS HEDGING IN THE LOWER ENVELOPE OF CURRENT INTENSITY DVORAK ESTIMATES RANGING FROM T2.5- T3.0 (35 TO 45 KNOTS). ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS HAVE DETERIORATED SIGNIFICANTLY IN THE UPPER LEVELS AS THE WESTERLY JET APPROACHES INTRODUCING HIGH VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, AND WILL PERSIST FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS LIMITING THE POSSIBILITY OF INTENSIFICATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 300000Z IS 12 FEET.//